AlphaGoCapital
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AlphaGo HK Barbell 50% dividend-quality leg (TTM yield top6, stable payers, above 200dma) + 50% CTH momentum leg (63d/252d close-to-high top10) · long-only monthly rebalance · 0.3% round-trip cost

50% dividend-quality leg (TTM-yield top6, stable payers, above 200dma) + 50% CTH momentum leg (63d/252d close-to-high top10), long-only monthly rebalance · point-in-time universe: OOS CAGR 18.9% MaxDD -30.5% Sharpe 0.86 · full window 14.3%/-32.1% vs 2800.HK 6.3%/-49.4% · live IBKR paper fills since 2026-10-12

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14.2%CAGR (bt)
0.86Sharpe
-32.1%Max Drawdowndaily
17.7%Volatility
18.9%OOS CAGR2022-01-01→
-30.5%OOS MaxDD

Backtest data as of 2026-10-08

NAV (backtest + paper) Benchmark: 2800.HK

Legend: orange = virtual ledger (theoretical signal fills); green = real IBKR fills attributed per-order (incl. slippage/lot rounding/timing). Different start dates — short-term levels are not comparable; same-day return divergence is monitored (A7), alert if >2%.

Current Targets 2026-10-02 · hk-barbell v2 static 50/50

Ticker Target weight
0836.HK 13.33%
0941.HK 8.33%
0883.HK 8.33%
0857.HK 8.33%
0267.HK 8.33%
1088.HK 8.33%
3328.HK 5.00%
1038.HK 5.00%
2359.HK 5.00%
1288.HK 5.00%
2269.HK 5.00%
1093.HK 5.00%
3988.HK 5.00%
1658.HK 5.00%
1398.HK 5.00%

Key Facts

Backtest start2009-02
Benchmark2800.HK (Tracker Fund/HSI)
UniverseHang Seng PIT constituents, barbell
Holdings~15 HK names
RebalanceMonthly
CurrencyHKD
Size basisHK$1,560,000 standalone sim (≈$200k USD)
FeesProp capital, no mgmt fee
StructurePaper validation, unregistered

Documents

Monthly factsheet (PDF) 🔒 Sign in
Full returns report (Excel) 🔒 Sign in
NAV history (CSV) Download ↓
Full holdings (CSV) 🔒 Sign in
Research notes View →

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Backtest is local simulation (QC/LEAN lack HKEX support). Universe is now point-in-time: reconstructed quarterly from zh-wiki index change logs plus official press-release patches (earliest snapshot used before Dec-2015); universe grows 59->99 names. Full-period headline corrected from ~28% to ~14% CAGR - the static universe overstated it by ~14pp via survivorship (main channel: universe definition, not missing dead stocks). Removed-from-index losses (-19.6% NAV) are inside the results. Parameters frozen Oct 2026; paper segment is forward ledger accounting. Financing/FX: USD cash ledger; HK stock purchases create an HKD margin debit at IBKR HKD margin rates - not in backtest.