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AlphaGo US Momentum I PIT S&P500∪NDX∪Dow30 universe · 12-1 momentum Top10 · SAC 3-seed ensemble weights · SPY OTM put-spread tail hedge · monthly rebalance

S&P500∪NDX∪Dow30 universe · 12-1 momentum Top10 · SAC ensemble weights · SPY tail hedge

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48.9%CAGR (bt)
1.22Sharpe
-31.7%Max Drawdowndaily
39.0%Volatility
48.9%OOS CAGR2022-01→
-31.7%OOS MaxDD

Backtest data as of 2026-10-02

NAV (backtest + paper) Benchmark: SPY

Legend: orange = virtual ledger (theoretical signal fills); green = real IBKR fills attributed per-order (incl. slippage/lot rounding/timing). Different start dates — short-term levels are not comparable; same-day return divergence is monitored (A7), alert if >2%.

Current Targets 2026-10-11 · SAC集成权重 · 月度调仓

Ticker Mom scoreUniverse rank12-1 mom13w21d vol AI Score* Target weight
SNDK
100
#1/510 +1183% -6% 67% 8 18.48%
INTC
99
#8/510 +168% +2% 70% 7 18.19%
STX
99
#5/510 +286% -9% 69% 7 12.70%
MRVL
98
#11/510 +146% +27% 50% 7 8.60%
WDC
99
#6/510 +281% -28% 62% — 5.84%
MU
100
#3/510 +398% +10% 47% 7 5.22%
MRNA
99
#4/510 +389% +236% 79% 4 5.13%
LITE
100
#2/510 +474% +44% 70% 7 3.83%
DELL
99
#7/510 +212% +37% 63% 8 3.32%
AMD
97
#14/510 +114% +14% 55% 5 2.41%

Momentum score = 12-1 momentum percentile within the point-in-time universe (100 = rank #1). 13w = last-63-day return; 21d vol annualized. Metrics as of the signal date.
*AI Score is Danelfin third-party score (1-10); hover for Technical/Fundamental/Sentiment/Low-Risk sub-scores. External reference, not our signal. As of 2026-10-20。

Universe Momentum Breadth signal 2026-10-11

Universe (PIT)510 names
Breadth (mom>0)61.8%
Universe median mom+6.6%
Top10 mean mom+370%

Breadth >50% = trend regime favors momentum; <50% = deteriorating, model tends to raise cash.

Sector Exposure (target)

Sector concentration is a feature of momentum, rotating with the signal.

Key Facts

Backtest start2022-01
BenchmarkSPY (S&P 500)
UniverseS&P500 U Nasdaq100 U Dow30 (point-in-time)
HoldingsTop-10 + SPY OTM put-spread hedge
RebalanceMonthly (first trading day)
CurrencyUSD
Size basis$400,000 standalone sim
FeesProp capital, no mgmt fee
StructurePaper validation, unregistered

Documents

Monthly factsheet (PDF) 🔒 Sign in
Full returns report (Excel) 🔒 Sign in
NAV history (CSV) Download ↓
Full holdings (CSV) 🔒 Sign in
Research notes View →

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Momentum factor: monthly signal rebalance, 25% single-name cap, top-10 concentrated book. Tail risk hedged via SPY put spread (buy 5% OTM / sell 15% OTM), premium budget ~0.3% NAV/mo. Backtest includes realistic costs (commission+slippage); OOS from 2022-01.